Latest Polling Data Show Challenges for President Obama

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Latest Poll Data suggests 24/7 Campaigning is not Working

October 26, 2011

CBS News is at it again.  The polling experts at the Columbia Broadcasting Network continue to cheer lead President Obama in his 24/7 campaign to inflict his administration on our country for another four years.

Were the President to pull this election out, we can only imagine the further, permanent damage he would inflict on our economy, social fabric and identity as Americans.  We’re already hearing the Obama apologists who claim that sub-3% growth, high-single digit unemployment, a devalued dollar and high energy prices are the new norm.  How much more would such defeatism, once anathema to the  American spirit, become further fixed, perhaps unalterably, during a second Obama term?

Well, CBS continues to release polling data which is at odds with the polling results issued by every other legitimate polling service.  This time around, CBS coordinates its polling with that other non-biased, non-agenda-driven distributor of the news – the New York Times.  “All the News that’s Fit to Print”, with the fitness determined not by the journalism standards once followed by this formerly-great publication, but rather by whether or not the news helps their guy and hurts the other.

Despite weeks of campaigning at taxpayer expense, the President has done little to improve his poll numbers.  He continues to hand out bread and circuses, trying to rally college student support with some de minimis modifications to the student loan program; the hard left with a withdrawal of all troops from Iraq (rejecting the recommendations of his military advisers,  jeopardizing our troops’ hard-fought achievements to date, and rewarding Iran for their most recent plot to murder the Saudi ambassador (and anyone else standing nearby) on US soil) and a draw-down in Afghanistan at the height of the fighting season (but conveniently right before the 2012 election); unions with his cynically-named “American Jobs Act” (words such as “stimulus” and “shovel-ready jobs” have been poll-tested out of this administration’s vocabulary); and proponents of big government everywhere with his revival of the already failed mortgage modification program (why should we think that the mess caused by government intervention in the housing market can be fixed by more government intervention in the housing market?).

The latest polling data suggests that despite the hand-outs, demagoguery, and non-stop campaigning, the public is on to this administration and its agenda.

Here is today’s polling data from RealClearPolitics:

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample Approve Disapprove Spread
RCP Average 10/13 – 10/25 – 43.8 51.0 -7.2
Gallup 10/23 – 10/25 1500 A 42 50 -8
Rasmussen Reports 10/23 – 10/25 1500 LV 43 55 -12
CBS News/NY Times 10/19 – 10/24 1650 A 46 46 Tie
Democracy Corps (D) 10/15 – 10/18 1000 LV 40 53 -13
Associated Press/GfK 10/13 – 10/17 1000 A 46 52 -6
CNN/Opinion Research 10/14 – 10/16 1007 A 46 50 -4

See All President Obama Job Approval Polling Data

 

President Obama’s Sinking Poll Numbers

Obama's Poll NumbersPresident Obama’s Poll Numbers Continue to Sink – but not at CBS

October 6, 2011

There is a scene in the charming 1942 film “I Married a Witch” where to prove her witchly powers to skeptical politician Fredric March, lovestruck Veronica Lake magically changes the ballot results to votes for Mr. March. It seems that some members of the similarly lovestruck Obama media feel compelled to resort to similar chicanery to make things looks not quite so bad for their candidate.

Here are today’s job approval results for President Obama as reported by RealClearPolitics:

Poll Date Sample Approve Disapprove Spread
RCP Average 9/23 – 10/5 – 42.4 52.0 -9.6
Gallup 10/3 – 10/5 1500 A 40 52 -12
Rasmussen Reports 10/3 – 10/5 1500 LV 42 56 -14
Quinnipiac 9/27 – 10/3 2118 RV 41 55 -14
ABC News/Wash Post 9/29 – 10/2 1002 A 42 54 -12
CBS News 9/28 – 10/2 1012 A 44 44 Tie
FOX News 9/25 – 9/27 925 RV 43 51 -8
CNN/Opinion Research 9/23 – 9/25 1010 A 45 52 -7

See All President Obama Job Approval Polling Data

One set of polling results seems anomalous, possibly reflecting more the pollsters’ wishful thinking than proper statistical methods.

The polling data show a lot of red, as far greater percentages of respondents disapprove than approve of Mr. Obama’s job performance. The one exception is CBS, which reflects an equal percentage of voters approving as disapproving of Mr. Obama’s job performance. In fact, looking further into the RealClearPolitics results, we find an unbroken sting of red poll results since July 11 — each and every poll reflecting negative numbers for the President.  Unbroken red but for the CBS tie. That’s a long stretch of bad numbers for Mr. Obama.

CBS may want to look into its poll-taking methodology, which seems to have skewed the results to make things look not so bleak for Mr. Obama. Then again, CBS’s voter sampling may have been disproportionately Democrat, or possibly was limited to only respondents in CBS’s own newsroom.